Saturday, October 25, 2008

First Look --Tsaogrip 2000

Quick Draft Summary: After whining about having the first pick, and then confidently picking CP3, Tim shored grabbed two solid C's (Al-Jeff, Boozer), then high scoring swingmen (VC, Redd). He then made a number of high-upside picks in the second half (Yi, Q-Rich, W-Chandler, Diaw)

Frontcourt: Al-Jeff (3), C-Booz (2), and Baby Al (8), K-Perk (12), Yi (15)
While Jefferson and Boozer are elite rebounders, they have both missed time in recent years. There's not a lot of rebounding depth on Tsaogrip, however. They've got to hope to get 7/g from Wilson Chandler, Yi and Harrington to compete in REBs. Similarly, in Blocks, Al-Jeff and Perkins should swat, but noone else (aside from perhaps Yi and Chandler) looks to be a blocker. A center from the wire (Etan Thomas?) or trading one of several 'all-rounders' for a solid center, would appear to be a good plan

Backcourt: CP3 (1), DreMil (6), Felton (11), Fish (19)
Chris Paul is very very good, and though this is not the deepest crop of PGs, they should excel in AST and Steals, since a lot of the team's swingmen are likely to contribute (VC, Diaw, Delonte). Fisher is in decline, and Felton has been a disappointment, but could provide value, given where they were picked. Miller should have a fine year. Another problem is that neither Felton nor Miller shoot the 3 much (and Paul only 1/G), so it will take a return to form from Q-Rich, along with solid contributions from Redd and Baby Al for Tsaogrip to be competitive in 3s.

Swingmen: VC (4), Redd (5), Howard(7), R-Jeff(9), Tayshaun(10)
This is the strength of the team. By picking CP 1st, then C's in rounds 2 and 3, Tim was able to take the best available player in rounds 4-10 (perhaps at the expense of depth in the 'specialty' positions, as noted above), and got what looks to be good value (esp. Howard, I think). Obviously, VC is an injury and attitude risk, but can do a lot, and is most certainly the #1 option in NJ. We'll see how R-Jeff and Redd share the load in Milwaukee, but it's likely they'll both produce at te 20/4/3 level. I love Howard, despite his off-court issues, and expect 20/6/2. We shouldn't discount the solid Pct's most of these players provide, with few fouls, and contributions across the stat-sheet.

X-Factors: Q-Rich (17), Wilson Chandler (14), Delonte West (16), Diaw(13)
Chandler's a highly-touted sophomore, and has been compared to Shawn Marion. Tim has smartly hedged by grabbing Q-Rich as well, ensuring he'll have a monopoly on Knicks SF minutes. Diaw, West and Q-Rich have all proven in the past that they can provide top 50 value (or totally suck). Much will hinge on their performance for Tsaogrip, soon to be renamed 'Isiah's Pills'.

Strengths: AST, PTs, FGM, FT%, PF -- a shortage of traditional big men means fewer fouls and better FT%
Weaknesses: Blocks, OREB, DREB, FG%

Best Pick: J-Howard (7th)
Worst Pick: Sun Yue? (18th)

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