Saturday, October 25, 2008

First Look -- my$hkin

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Quick Draft Summary: My$hkin grabbed C's (or near C's) in Pau and Dirk early, and a solid PG in AI, then went for shooters and value. The lower half of his draft has a lot of upside. 3 Nuggets may not be enough!

Frontcourt: Dirk (1), Pau (3), T-Chand (8), Nene (10), K-Mart (12), Wilcox (14), Millsap (15)

A lot depends on the health of Nene and K-Mart, and that's not a good sign. Really, only Pau and T-Chand are likely to get 10 RPG (Dirk might be close). I fear there's not enough depth to be a rebounding force unless everyone listed really steps up -- I'm more optimistic about the blocks, however, and about FG%. Dirk's excellent FT% (and qty) should more than cancel out T-Chand's futility from the stripe.

Backcourt: AI (2), Leandro (9), Duhon (14)

Really only AI, A-Ig, and DuDu are likely to hit 5 APG, which is worrisome. Luckily, Dunleavy and Wallace will chip in some, but more PG depth will be required to compete in AST. Steals, on the other hand will be in the bag most weeks, as G-Wall, AI, A-Ig, and even Larry Hughes are among the best thieves out there. We shouldn' forget just how often AI still gets to the line. What's less clear is DuDu's role, and whether he'll be any good even if he plays -- he certainly hasn't been effective in Chicago.

Swingmen: A-Ig (3), Dunleavy (5), G-Wallace (6), Allen(7)

Plenty of points here, and 3s from Dunleavy ad Allen (and Barbosa, of course). I think FTM, FGM and PTS will usually be in my$hkin' s column. Wallace carries some risk, of course, and Allen is declining, but I think these were superb value picks. Dunleavy's coming off a career year, but I don't see any reason he can't do it again.

X-Factors: OJ Mayo (11), Larry Hughes (20), Azubuike (18), Ariza (17), Posey (16)

Mayo could really help the my$hkin backcourt if he performs. Hughes can still produce (and steal!) when healthy. Kelenna, T-Ariz, and Posey may all see more opportunity than last year, and could put up useful across the board numbers.

Strengths: 3s, STL, FT, FG%, TO, PTS, FG

Weaknesses: REB, BLK, AST


Best Pick: A-Ig (4) -- Iggy Hop is very solid, and may be a steal here. I also like the T-Chand (8), Allen (7), and Kelenna (18) picks

Worst Pick: Millsap (15) - he's got talent, but unless Boozer goes down again, I'm not sure he's going to play much.

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